Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.727257 0.925408 1.147425 1.411869 1.715535 2.050719 2.446019
2025-08-24 0.481389 0.739240 1.063127 1.487201 2.015342 2.639649 3.421385
2025-08-31 0.304044 0.573084 0.953036 1.496540 2.222767 3.130519 4.321115
2025-09-07 0.212630 0.488667 0.922276 1.590045 2.532793 3.761158 5.426578
2025-09-14 0.144384 0.411389 0.878687 1.650010 2.793555 4.337335 6.488658
2025-09-21 0.093587 0.340100 0.823508 1.677185 3.001455 4.846725 7.480334
2025-09-28 0.054314 0.267757 0.744709 1.649442 3.118365 5.229238 8.311031
2025-10-05 0.033466 0.224898 0.707270 1.679636 3.317818 5.729669 9.312939
2025-10-12 0.018979 0.185810 0.664762 1.691230 3.483434 6.182912 10.258810
2025-10-19 0.008332 0.142401 0.596669 1.642565 3.543113 6.477753 10.985931
2025-10-26 0.003062 0.109634 0.540816 1.605810 3.614770 6.787756 11.738012
2025-11-02 0.001050 0.090017 0.512329 1.618322 3.767955 7.223657 12.679550
2025-11-09 0.000107 0.066106 0.459265 1.571523 3.816591 7.505345 13.414182
2025-11-16 0.000008 0.058631 0.459040 1.642625 4.081673 8.136425 14.681700
2025-11-23 NaN 0.046223 0.432486 1.647649 4.224178 8.576027 15.673693
2025-11-30 NaN 0.043014 0.443496 1.744912 4.544453 9.310612 17.123783
2025-12-07 NaN 0.037586 0.440984 1.807496 4.800822 9.947313 18.437280
2025-12-14 NaN 0.030748 0.426167 1.835759 4.991143 10.479725 19.601143
2025-12-21 NaN 0.022123 0.391909 1.805900 5.063823 10.817718 20.472101
2025-12-28 NaN 0.017912 0.380878 1.837866 5.260543 11.366575 21.676314
2026-01-04 NaN 0.013728 0.364126 1.850118 5.416295 11.848406 22.782601
2026-01-11 NaN 0.008650 0.328351 1.798294 5.434844 12.095279 23.524642
2026-01-18 NaN 0.005306 0.298935 1.759143 5.475783 12.379466 24.327992